Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.009124 0.010261 0.011510 0.012987 0.014692 0.016604 0.018919
2025-05-04 0.007309 0.008828 0.010643 0.012988 0.015964 0.019648 0.024606
2025-05-11 0.006352 0.008039 0.010169 0.013092 0.017052 0.022310 0.029952
2025-05-18 0.005591 0.007337 0.009640 0.012953 0.017686 0.024342 0.034664
2025-05-25 0.005094 0.006897 0.009366 0.013071 0.018618 0.026837 0.040365
2025-06-01 0.004626 0.006430 0.008983 0.012953 0.019148 0.028759 0.045450
2025-06-08 0.004147 0.005894 0.008432 0.012502 0.019082 0.029705 0.049047
2025-06-15 0.003867 0.005616 0.008228 0.012546 0.019778 0.031943 0.055199
2025-06-22 0.003724 0.005528 0.008296 0.013016 0.021218 0.035613 0.064594
2025-06-29 0.003441 0.005198 0.007950 0.012761 0.021373 0.037017 0.069882
2025-07-06 0.003185 0.004887 0.007607 0.012472 0.021420 0.038211 0.074939
2025-07-13 0.003008 0.004689 0.007429 0.012445 0.021936 0.040354 0.082385
2025-07-20 0.002910 0.004624 0.007483 0.012867 0.023410 0.044733 0.096032
2025-07-27 0.002748 0.004438 0.007317 0.012873 0.024089 0.047625 0.107030
2025-08-03 0.002617 0.004294 0.007210 0.012976 0.024969 0.051084 0.120283
2025-08-10 0.002464 0.004100 0.006994 0.012839 0.025323 0.053416 0.131202
2025-08-17 0.002360 0.003984 0.006911 0.012955 0.026235 0.057196 0.147121
2025-08-24 0.002235 0.003820 0.006724 0.012839 0.026613 0.059753 0.160245
2025-08-31 0.002080 0.003591 0.006394 0.012392 0.026178 0.060208 0.167136
2025-09-07 0.001995 0.003488 0.006300 0.012435 0.026895 0.063760 0.184937
2025-09-14 0.001964 0.003482 0.006395 0.012901 0.028694 0.070543 0.215849
2025-09-21 0.001858 0.003326 0.006179 0.012649 0.028679 0.072299 0.229671
2025-09-28 0.001756 0.003172 0.005956 0.012362 0.028540 0.073686 0.242636